Today is that day that Trump seems to have defied Putin

[kurtyboy]

Let that sink in with respect to Trump's deepening dementia.

Can a broader, more lethal conflict be avoided?

[Bluetus]

1. Netanyahu was determined to do this

And Trump really, really wants that Mediterranean property the Palestinians no longer need in Gaza.

This has nothing to do with nukes or missiles. Oman has been negotiating as a trusted third party. They reportedly had an agreement on Thursday that Iran would agree to not enrich any nuclear fuel for several years and any already-enriched fuel would be removed from the country.

[jls4561]

2. As Rachel said "Cui bobo?" Who benefits? Arab countries want Iran gone, and they give Fat Donnie or one of his

spawn or spawn-in-law oodles of money. So it’s a rent a war.

Let’s see how much Bibi and Donnie help the people of Iran after the bombs stop falling.

Cui bono?

[Igel]

10. Leb's bry ib in Labin.

"Cui bono?" is nice but fallacy prone.

It means, basically, who benefits?

Question is, who's doing the evaluation? I mean, if I had a lover and a stash of $ and a good income in TX divorcing my wife might be a good thing, financially. Then again, if my wife had a lover and knew about my income, she'd rake in child support.

It really depends on what the perp knows and values. If my wife in the preceding paragraph had no lover then why a divorce? if I valued family over $, why divorce?

Thing is, when looking at people from the outside, I don't know their motivations, what's important. And if I don't have a good suspect, that means I don't have any suspect. Because all the 'cui bono' crap is just that--crap.

Esp. if I'm biased--and think my wife must have a lover because low libido = wants another. Ignore actual wife. Or stats. My assumptions are facts, right? Why? Because me. I glory in me-ness. I'm never wrong, as far as I admit--and any evidence to the contrary means you're a traitor to the Cause.

So "cui bono?" works to the extent we know all the wants, desires, motivations of all those potentially involved.

Otherwise, "cui bono?"" = "what do I emote must be bad?" Hardly the same thing as guilty beyond a reasonable doubt.

[VMA131Marine]

3. Well, this attack signals to Putin that he no longer needs justification for his invasion of Ukraine

Any argument we had against the Russian invasion just went up in smoke.

I hope we at least took out Iran’s drone factories.

[bigtree]

4. Russia and Iran have a tenuous relationship

...based on Russia's access to Iran's oil.

As long as that continues, it's not clear what ox of Putin's has been gored here. Bet that it will eventually resume, shortly.

[kurtyboy]

5. Iran supplies weapons to Russia

Putin is already strapped for resources to prosecute his war on Ukraine.

Everything is getting more unpredictable...

[SamuelTheThird]

6. Just means Israel has the more damaging kompromat

[Johnny2X2X]

7. Nah

Putin OKed this. Probably even provided intelligence. No way would he go against Putin. Russia has to think this is good for them.

[Xolodno]

8. Out military warned that this would deplete our already...

...dangerously low stocks of munitions. Not to mention, this is going to cost a lot of money.

This gives Putin even more justification to hit Ukraine.

Next, if China makes a go at Taiwan, we will be on our back heel.

[marked50]

9. Closing the Straits of Hormuz fits in with Russia's need to

lower the worlds access to Middle East oil. Lowering this source not only drives up the price of oil, which Putin needs for his bankrupt country, but also drives many that need oil to tap into his supply that sits in his "Shadow Fleet" tankers now stalled due to sanctions. Putin is happy to see this.