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Yonnie3

(19,458 posts)
Wed Apr 1, 2026, 08:14 AM 10 hrs ago

Trump approval polling is abysmal

I don't put much stock in polls about approval of politicians. Any one poll can be an outlier, so I look at multiple polls. The polls are subject to all sorts of biases, both deliberate (or ignorant) and inadvertent. That said, I went on over to https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating to see what's happening after he attacked Iran.

Scrolling down to the graph I see a significant downturn over the last month. Going down to 41.3% average approval from 43.7% on March 7th. Net approval went from -10.8% to -15.1%.

There is a link to a table of polls that specifically ask about Approval of Military Action Against Iran. It looks like many of the polls don't ask about specific issues, but some do.. For Iran it is not good with an average spread of -13.5. The only poll with a positive spread is a Harvard-Harris poll with a spread of +2.

My take after having watched as much as I could stand of Trump's statements about his not really a war, war, is that he expected praise and a boost in his ratings for this unscripted reality show he's running. Is there anyone who can give this evil buffoon real advice that he will listen to and understand? I think not.

The link for inflation shows a net -30.0 approval. I immediately thought of "It's the economy, stupid" catch phrase of James Carville in 1992.

We've got some work to do for the midterms.

Y3

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Trump approval polling is abysmal (Original Post) Yonnie3 10 hrs ago OP
RCP is biased towards republicans Fiendish Thingy 8 hrs ago #1
I'm really not that interested a deep dive into the polling. Yonnie3 7 hrs ago #2

Fiendish Thingy

(23,236 posts)
1. RCP is biased towards republicans
Wed Apr 1, 2026, 09:37 AM
8 hrs ago

If you want more balanced numbers, check out G. Elliot Morris’ site, Fifty Plus One

https://fiftyplusone.news/polls/approval/president

RCP includes many polls in their average that Morris rejects as biased and unreliable.

RCP’s average Trump approval: 41.3%

Fifty Plus One’s average Trump approval: 37.3%

Note: Morris is the guy who took over 538 after ABC fired corrupt failure Nate Silver for allowing the averages and projection model to be openly manipulated by the same group of biased pollsters that RCP includes in their averages.

Yonnie3

(19,458 posts)
2. I'm really not that interested a deep dive into the polling.
Wed Apr 1, 2026, 10:48 AM
7 hrs ago

Thanks for the link, but as I implied in my OP, I believe all polls are suspect. If as you say, RCP's selection of polls is Republican leaning then its poor rating for Trump has significant import.

I'm not going down that rabbit hole of un-skewing poll averages, there are more important things to do. I was a frequent visitor to 538 back in its early days. In hindsight it was a tremendous waste of my time.

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