Putin May Not Survive This Blow - Jason Jay Smart

[TexasTowelie]

Putin's regime looks weaker tonight because Russia oil export disruption is no longer a problem buried inside the energy sector. It is hitting the cash base behind the war. When roughly 40% of crude export capacity comes under pressure, the Kremlin loses room to finance military operations, shield rear infrastructure, and keep elites quiet. A system built on oil money starts looking brittle fast when the revenue stream itself no longer looks secure.

Primorsk, Ust-Luga, and Kirishi sit inside the chain that earns export money and turns crude into usable fuel. Ust-Luga is one of Russia's biggest export arteries. Kirishi is one of the plants that keeps Northwestern Russia fueled. Add the Vyborg shipyard strike, and the protected rear near St. Petersburg looks exposed in a way Moscow cannot easily hide.

That is where the danger turns political. Export disruption, refinery pressure, and rear-area exposure force the state to defend, reroute, repair, and absorb losses at the same time. That strain reaches beyond economics. It cuts into the money behind fuel, repairs, transport, and military endurance. When the rear no longer feels protected and the war cash starts burning, a strongman system stops looking stable and starts looking beatable.

CHAPTERS:
00:00 - Intro: Russia’s Oil Collapse & Putin’s Weakness
01:23 - Economic Blow: How Ukraine is Bankrupting Russia
03:29 - Baltic Sea Siege: Russia’s Fuel Paralysis
05:13 - FSB Ship Attack: Russia’s Humiliated Rear
06:59 - Russian Revenue Crash: Putin’s Lost Billions
09:12 - Putin’s Political Chaos: Russia’s Imminent Collapse

[niyad]

1. "Don't start none, won't be none." Funny how that works.

[LymphocyteLover]

2. LFG!!! Slava Ukriani!