General Discussion

Wiz Imp

(10,137 posts)

40. That fear is way overblown.

Mon Apr 13, 2026, 05:31 PM

Monday

The polls showing the 2 Republicans leading show them at a combined less than 30%. I believe they will max out at at a combined 30% or so at the most. What is ignored is that 24% of all voters were undecided and Almost all of them will vote for a Democrat. Only Swallwell, Steyer and Porter have ever polled above 4 percent. With Swallwell out, I would expect most of that undecided vote to go to Porter or Steyer. Sure Becerra may gain a few points, but I don't believe he has any chance of reaching 15%, given his most recent polling was at just 3%. Once you get past Becerra, the rest of the candidates combined poll at only about 10%. If I were to bet on it, I'd bet that Steyer and Porter finish 1-2 with the republicans in 3rd and 4th place.

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Becerra is my choice for California Governor [View all] senseandsensibility Monday OP

It may turn out to be 2 republicans... lame54 Monday #1

That fear is way overblown. Wiz Imp Monday #40

Steyer should win the top nom easily... WarGamer Monday #53

Why wasn't he the frontrunner to start with? leftstreet Monday #2

Becarra isn't a flashy media personality. haele Monday #9

This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave Monday #15

Thanks. I work with a Becarra. haele Monday #17

This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave Monday #22

I will vote based on how the polls are JI7 Monday #3

I wonder how many in CA would be open to RCV RandomNumbers Monday #6

I would be opposed to RCV from what I have seen if it JI7 Monday #13

Thank you for your honest opinion. RandomNumbers Monday #16

I like him Mz Pip Monday #4

Becerra has a low key style senseandsensibility Monday #11

Finally starting to see ads from him. tinrobot Monday #20

My choices will be Steyer, Becerra, or porter which I will decide which one after the debate in May. lostincalifornia Monday #5

You read my mind -- I am now for Becerra as well LSparkle Monday #7

Yes, he has an ad running that shows senseandsensibility Monday #10

This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave Monday #50

I want boring competence w/ relevant experience, and on that basis his CV looks the best. RockRaven Monday #8

Here's my last-minute choice usonian Monday #12

It's a shame his campaign hasn't had much traction fujiyamasan Monday #14

Share your concerns about Steyer and Porter senseandsensibility Monday #18

Biggest issue now is just making sure a democrat places in the top two fujiyamasan Monday #27

Exactly!!!! mikewv Monday #41

I also can't figure out why he hasn't got much traction. LeftInTX Monday #19

His resume is perfect. tinrobot Monday #21

I really don't know what's he like as a campaigner. Can he get some charisma? LeftInTX Monday #25

He's very normal and rational. tinrobot Monday #51

This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave Monday #54

He hasn't run any ads that Ive seem Mz Pip Monday #28

I hadn't even considered him catchnrelease Monday #37

Sued trump 122 times and won. Also bianco who seized 650,000 ballots... IcyPeas Monday #23

Hispanics are the plurality of Californians ITAL Monday #24

Thanks for pointing that out. senseandsensibility Monday #47

I am waiting until there is a clear Democratic frontrunner. It's imperative ... Auggie Monday #26

Would the entry of Kamala Harris change your vote? Frasier Balzov Monday #29

Harris couldn't run now even if she wanted to MichMan Monday #42

I think it's too late? senseandsensibility Monday #48

Swalwell was my 1st choice.............. Lovie777 Monday #30

Message auto-removed Name removed Monday #31

Sounds serious Torchlight Monday #32

This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave Monday #33

Message auto-removed Name removed Monday #34

There's no scandal to erase. paleotn Monday #36

This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave Monday #38

Becerra's my first choice, but he's going to have to do a real hard come from behind to pass Steyer. NBachers Monday #35

This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave Monday #39

Not from Cal. here. The only thing i say is bluestarone Monday #43

This message was self-deleted by its author PeaceWave Monday #44

not as many people who approve of fascism in California Skittles Monday #46

So happy for that!! bluestarone Monday #49

Becerra needs to drop out. His last 10 poll results, newest to oldest: 4%, 4%, 2%, 3%, 3%, 5%, 3%, 5%, 5%, 3%. He is one Celerity Monday #45

That campaign finance scandal hit as he was getting going Sympthsical Monday #52

I'm going with Steyer. He's put a ton of his own $ into progressive causes here. Sibelius Fan 20 hrs ago #55