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In reply to the discussion: If the Strait of Hormuz doesn't open soon, as seems likely, there will be a massive economic crash [View all]bucolic_frolic
(56,069 posts)2. The storage cushion is fudgy.
Saw some stats and generally all countries have drawn down about 25% thus far. Then they said they can't draw all the way to the bottom because the sludge is down there. Sounds like they don't really know what's at the bottom, might depend on how long it's been stored, the year of the first fill. Shouldn't that stock be rotated? Maybe this war is the excuse.
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If the Strait of Hormuz doesn't open soon, as seems likely, there will be a massive economic crash [View all]
LymphocyteLover
22 hrs ago
OP
there's definitely been some adaptation... but still a lot has been kept afloat by the reserves that are likely to run
LymphocyteLover
16 hrs ago
#27
Absolutely. I totally agree on all those points. The stock market is particularly a mess IMO
LymphocyteLover
15 hrs ago
#32
Yes, but the key is how long the strait stays closed and how quickly the reserves run out
LymphocyteLover
16 hrs ago
#28
Diesel is often made from mideastern crude while gasoline is made from US crude
JT45242
15 hrs ago
#30
Are America's strategic reserves at a 40 year low right before the summer season?
SamuelTheThird
19 hrs ago
#19
Traders in Singapore, Beijing and Mumbai aren't duped by whatever Trump says
GreatGazoo
14 hrs ago
#36
"futures price contracts probably isn't a good predictor of actual future prices" -- meaning spot prices, yes
GreatGazoo
10 hrs ago
#42
Appreciate your insight as I'm an admitted economic idiot. I can see where Exxon would be trying to "warn"
Cheezoholic
17 hrs ago
#21
Since oil is sold as futures there is more profit when buyers panic about the future
GreatGazoo
14 hrs ago
#37
Last week Exxon Mobil warned that oil inventories will fall to record low levels in coming weeks
LymphocyteLover
15 hrs ago
#33
"one of the key reasons that Trump started this conflict was to increase energy prices"-- agree
LymphocyteLover
16 hrs ago
#25