General Discussion

Melon

(1,791 posts)

5. The issue is how many times have we been told to leave the market?

Thu Jun 4, 2026, 08:55 AM

Yesterday

My portfolio is up 20% this year. Slightly more last year. It’s literally changing my retirement horizon.
The message was to leave last year on trump election. The message was to get out end of 2025. I absolutely know individuals who did and are now really far behind.
I used to get in and out for these reasons, and at the end of the day never came out ahead.
Market timing is a bad bet usually. Take some profits sure, but on a multi year crime horizon no. I would even say it’s at your own risk of returns to not be invested in AI and yes…space X. There are bubbles but the US through 401k accounts has a continuous influx of investment cash going into the market. AI is the foreseeable future and the most successful entrepreneur in the world is Musk. It’s just as risky to bet against those things.

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GreatGazoo comradebillyboy obnoxiousdrunk rictofen

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Highlight:

longshot prediction: the AI bubble gets popped this month by the SpaceX IPO, so get out NOW [View all] paulkienitz Yesterday OP

Sold my last 3 stocks. Moved money to a multigraincracker Yesterday #1

You may be right edhopper Yesterday #2

If the Democrats win back Congress this fall I predict a stock market correction. yardwork Yesterday #4

Trump will still be President edhopper Yesterday #22

There are no crashes anymore. Market is rigged and irrational GreatGazoo Yesterday #3

That kind of rigging can't hold forever paulkienitz Yesterday #11

and yet here we are GreatGazoo Yesterday #15

Something I think a lot of folks are missing are structural changes in the market. Happy Hoosier 5 hrs ago #43

Have had similar thoughts GreatGazoo 5 hrs ago #44

Yeah, lots of folks specualte about that kind of stuff... Happy Hoosier 4 hrs ago #45

The issue is how many times have we been told to leave the market? Melon Yesterday #5

Yeah, that's where I am ITAL Yesterday #8

It took six years to recover edhopper Yesterday #23

Six years isn't that long for me ITAL Yesterday #24

Or get out now and edhopper Yesterday #28

Preferably you are cost averaging. Melon 19 hrs ago #32

There are other investments edhopper 18 hrs ago #33

If you took your money out in 2007 edhopper 6 hrs ago #40

No it's not "just as risky". paulkienitz Yesterday #9

Ill gotten ponzy...huh? You mean investment returns. Melon Yesterday #21

"others success"? There is no success to profit from in AI. paulkienitz Yesterday #25

Go read what Sam Altman is saying. Uber and Melon 19 hrs ago #31

That math doesn't math -- companies will not pay enough. paulkienitz 12 hrs ago #34

WSJ and Gallup did a story looking at how Democrat voters are losing money GreatGazoo Yesterday #16

"Democratic." The adjective form is "Democratic." ColoringFool Yesterday #17

I could have put a hyphen in there but noun GreatGazoo Yesterday #20

No Johnny2X2X Yesterday #6

I've heard that song before. paulkienitz Yesterday #10

We've been waiting decades for a bubble Johnny2X2X Yesterday #12

Index funds are like 50% AI bubble now. paulkienitz Yesterday #14

9 years ago when I joined DU, people were saying that Bitcoin would burst and go to near zero Polybius 11 hrs ago #36

Bitcoin will either sputter on for decades, or go almost instantaneously to zero at any time -- it's not predictable. paulkienitz 11 hrs ago #37

People are predicting the market is holding on Johonny Yesterday #7

I turned some investments into a newer and larger house CanonRay Yesterday #13

I'll just keep my NVIDIA,TYVM. ColoringFool Yesterday #18

Jensen Huang is pulling sooo many circular-financing fast ones... paulkienitz Yesterday #19

Heard the same shit from Thom Hartmann a few years back Ziggy Beans Yesterday #26

That same lie was told before the last two crashes. paulkienitz Yesterday #29

imho Fat gains should be pruned. Rotation is underway. bucolic_frolic Yesterday #27

Simple.... multigraincracker 23 hrs ago #30

More apropos to the current situation, index funds do the opposite. paulkienitz 11 hrs ago #38

I think that's a terrible prediction Polybius 12 hrs ago #35

"doesnt crash anymore" paulkienitz 11 hrs ago #39

Lol imagine taking investment advive from a panicked, anonymous internet poster. BannonsLiver 6 hrs ago #41

Or not Happy Hoosier 6 hrs ago #42