General Discussion

Johnny2X2X

(24,485 posts)

12. We've been waiting decades for a bubble

Thu Jun 4, 2026, 09:36 AM

Thursday

Been like 18 years now. Kept going up under Obama, under Trump, under Biden, and now under Trump again. At each stage there were people who sold for political reasons and missed out on record gains. If you sold under Trump's first term, your portfolio missed out on fantastic gains. If you sold because things looked dire during Covid, you missed out on incredible gains. If you sold when Trump took back over you missed out on very broad and significant gains.

Some people have been predicting a crash for decades now, there are more signs that we are about to see incredible growth than a significant pull back, and that's even if an AI bubble falters.

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comradebillyboy obnoxiousdrunk Polybius

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Highlight:

longshot prediction: the AI bubble gets popped this month by the SpaceX IPO, so get out NOW [View all] paulkienitz Thursday OP

Sold my last 3 stocks. Moved money to a multigraincracker Thursday #1

You may be right edhopper Thursday #2

If the Democrats win back Congress this fall I predict a stock market correction. yardwork Thursday #4

Trump will still be President edhopper Thursday #22

There are no crashes anymore. Market is rigged and irrational GreatGazoo Thursday #3

That kind of rigging can't hold forever paulkienitz Thursday #11

and yet here we are GreatGazoo Thursday #15

Something I think a lot of folks are missing are structural changes in the market. Happy Hoosier 21 hrs ago #43

Have had similar thoughts GreatGazoo 21 hrs ago #44

Yeah, lots of folks specualte about that kind of stuff... Happy Hoosier 20 hrs ago #45

The issue is how many times have we been told to leave the market? Melon Thursday #5

Yeah, that's where I am ITAL Thursday #8

It took six years to recover edhopper Thursday #23

Six years isn't that long for me ITAL Thursday #24

Or get out now and edhopper Thursday #28

Preferably you are cost averaging. Melon Thursday #32

There are other investments edhopper Thursday #33

If you took your money out in 2007 edhopper 22 hrs ago #40

No it's not "just as risky". paulkienitz Thursday #9

Ill gotten ponzy...huh? You mean investment returns. Melon Thursday #21

"others success"? There is no success to profit from in AI. paulkienitz Thursday #25

Go read what Sam Altman is saying. Uber and Melon Thursday #31

That math doesn't math -- companies will not pay enough. paulkienitz Yesterday #34

WSJ and Gallup did a story looking at how Democrat voters are losing money GreatGazoo Thursday #16

"Democratic." The adjective form is "Democratic." ColoringFool Thursday #17

I could have put a hyphen in there but noun GreatGazoo Thursday #20

No Johnny2X2X Thursday #6

I've heard that song before. paulkienitz Thursday #10

We've been waiting decades for a bubble Johnny2X2X Thursday #12

Index funds are like 50% AI bubble now. paulkienitz Thursday #14

9 years ago when I joined DU, people were saying that Bitcoin would burst and go to near zero Polybius Yesterday #36

Bitcoin will either sputter on for decades, or go almost instantaneously to zero at any time -- it's not predictable. paulkienitz Yesterday #37

People are predicting the market is holding on Johonny Thursday #7

I turned some investments into a newer and larger house CanonRay Thursday #13

I'll just keep my NVIDIA,TYVM. ColoringFool Thursday #18

Jensen Huang is pulling sooo many circular-financing fast ones... paulkienitz Thursday #19

Heard the same shit from Thom Hartmann a few years back Ziggy Beans Thursday #26

That same lie was told before the last two crashes. paulkienitz Thursday #29

imho Fat gains should be pruned. Rotation is underway. bucolic_frolic Thursday #27

Simple.... multigraincracker Thursday #30

More apropos to the current situation, index funds do the opposite. paulkienitz Yesterday #38

I think that's a terrible prediction Polybius Yesterday #35

"doesnt crash anymore" paulkienitz Yesterday #39

Lol imagine taking investment advive from a panicked, anonymous internet poster. BannonsLiver 22 hrs ago #41

I am hardly alone in pointing out how remarkably huge and smelly an elephant is currently in the room. paulkienitz 10 hrs ago #47

Or not Happy Hoosier 22 hrs ago #42

I have no intention of trying to call tops and bottoms. I just want to avoid big crashes. paulkienitz 10 hrs ago #46