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womanofthehills

(10,845 posts)
24. You-Gov poll, internal poll & exit
Mon Feb 23, 2026, 10:28 PM
7 hrs ago

Ai

- A January 2025 poll by YouGov, commissioned by the Institute for Middle East Understanding (IMEU) Policy Project, surveyed voters nationwide and found that among those who supported Joe Biden in 2020 but did not vote for Harris in 2024 (or stayed home), 29% cited "ending Israel's violence in Gaza" as the top issue influencing their decision. This ranked higher than the economy (24%) or immigration (11%). The poll highlighted this as a significant factor in reduced Democratic turnout, especially in swing states like Michigan, where Harris underperformed compared to Biden's 2020 margins.



- The Democratic National Committee's (DNC) internal "autopsy" report on the 2024 election, as reported in February 2026, concluded that the Biden-Harris administration's pro-Israel stance on Gaza was a "net-negative" for the campaign. Based on the party's own data, it cost Harris votes, particularly among younger and progressive voters, leading to lower support in key battleground states. This review was not made public, but details were shared with pro-Palestinian groups like IMEU.

- Exit polls and post-election analyses, such as those from CNN, The Washington Post, and Fox News, showed Harris winning young voters (ages 18-29) by only 11 points in 2024, compared to Biden's 24-point margin in 2020—a 13-point shift toward Trump. In Michigan cities with large Arab American populations like Dearborn, Harris received about 22,000 fewer votes than Biden did in 2020, with some analyses attributing this directly to frustration over Gaza policy.

These findings suggest that while Gaza was not the sole reason for Harris's defeat, it played a measurable role in eroding support from key Democratic constituencies.

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Russian bots and no doubt GOP operatives pushed this to divide the the party. usonian Yesterday #1
here is the proper link Celerity Yesterday #2
I would be interested in knowing what the impact of other positions karynnj 16 hrs ago #17
Thank you for the link now in the OP. PufPuf23 8 hrs ago #19
Fuck all this nitpicking, what about the big things - Russian interferance and corporate money? groundloop 21 hrs ago #3
Add it to the list. A whole lot of things cost her votes. thesquanderer 21 hrs ago #4
She was a great candidate who was poorly placed by a botched primary. travelingthrulife 20 hrs ago #6
Actually the short campaign window wasn't short enough Shrek 19 hrs ago #9
More time wouldn't necessarily have helped, but... thesquanderer 17 hrs ago #15
This message was self-deleted by its author Omaha Steve 20 hrs ago #5
Large portions of the world population believe that the Israeli state apparatus, IDF, and settler conduct Prairie Gates 20 hrs ago #7
So they voted for Trump. That makes perfect sense. yardwork 19 hrs ago #8
It cost the Dems something to believe that sentiment could be ignored and belittled Prairie Gates 19 hrs ago #10
How do you know they made that calculation? yardwork 18 hrs ago #12
We all saw the kids out in the streets against the war womanofthehills 7 hrs ago #23
Note that I agree with you. PufPuf23 8 hrs ago #20
How did that work out for them? Mz Pip 18 hrs ago #11
Allowing a genocide isn't good Prairie Gates 18 hrs ago #13
Can't find it at the link Mysterian 17 hrs ago #14
Sufficient to change the outcome? Grins 17 hrs ago #16
The reason made the post was that the story was the top of the Times of Israel liveblog. PufPuf23 8 hrs ago #21
You-Gov poll, internal poll & exit womanofthehills 7 hrs ago #24
Yeah, they sure showed her Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin 15 hrs ago #18
Supporters of the choices being made by Israel poured lots of funds via PufPuf23 8 hrs ago #22
Remember Trump lying big time during his campaign womanofthehills 7 hrs ago #25
No RandySF 7 hrs ago #26
IMO, she lost because Trump's lies, fear-mongering and bigotry attracted more votes than decency. Doodley 6 hrs ago #27
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