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paleotn

(22,377 posts)

14. Maybe so.

Reply to AZJonnie (Reply #6)

Mon Apr 13, 2026, 10:49 AM

Monday

But the few adults around Trump are probably thinking this will pressure 3rd parties into pressuring Tehran into making a deal. Iran will demand concessions. Probably lifting some sanctions Those 3rd parties will then pressure the US to make those concessions. Trump will probably accept to get the strait open. And the US ends this in worse shape than we started.

The fly in all this is the enriched uranium. Iran has little incentive to give it up. That will take serious concessions from the US, if that's even possible at this point. It was a non-starter on Saturday. Best we can hope for is a return to status quo with a stronger Iran and a weaker US. Plus, our credibility in the Gulf is shot to hell.

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republianmushroom

33 replies

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Highlight:

Wait! Trump is blockading Hormuz bc Iran closed it? [View all] yellowcanine Monday OP

Sense? malaise Monday #1

Make sense? How is *making sense* involved? He's just blockading a blockade, that's all. Ocelot II Monday #2

He's blockading the blockade Farmer-Rick Monday #3

LOL! Exactly!! paleotn Monday #8

The strategy, I think... Happy Hoosier Monday #4

See, if Trump blockades Iran's blockade (from outside it's perimeter), then Iran's blockade is actually not a blockade AZJonnie Monday #6

That, unfortunately, sounds like the likely motivation. GopherGal Monday #10

Maybe so. paleotn Monday #14

Trump wouldn't have the gonads to impede ships bound for Russia or China, so the whole thing would be pointless AZJonnie Monday #17

As that Chinese ship has shown. republianmushroom Yesterday #25

Custer's decision underpants Yesterday #29

He's blocking all traffic through the straight that agreed to pay the toll to Iran Volaris Monday #5

trump has a strategy LetMyPeopleVote Monday #7

........ paleotn Monday #16

These are brilliant! BlueSpot Monday #19

This was already open before Trump started the war JI7 Monday #9

I'd love it if Iran tweeted, "Open the Strait, you fucking bastard!" Efilroft Sul Monday #11

More likely they'll say NH Ethylene Yesterday #31

I hear it's really taxing work. Efilroft Sul Yesterday #32

;-{) Repurposed Ballroom Bunker Dirt Goonch Monday #12

I can see a perverse kind of logic to it. subterranean Monday #13

I think he was hoping to punish any ship/country that made a deal with Iran for passage. travelingthrulife Monday #15

Not a real pirate. Real pirates capture a prize now and then. yellowcanine Monday #18

Maybe this isn't a valid analogy, boonecreek Monday #20

He wants that passage money lame54 Monday #21

You could see that dim bulb moment on his face when he Maru Kitteh Yesterday #30

Looks like he's trying for the Uno Reverse play 0rganism Monday #22

George Lucas appears to have predicted this strategy LetMyPeopleVote Yesterday #23

With trump is doesn't have to make sense. republianmushroom Yesterday #24

The story has since evolved BeyondGeography Yesterday #26

Iran was ForgedCrank Yesterday #27

TACO --- again & again & again. Too scared of China (so he still has a bit of sense) Tim S Yesterday #28

Simple. Somewhere, somehow, there's a donor who stands to make millions off this blockade of Iran. unblock Yesterday #33