Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

pat_k

(14,371 posts)

5. See post #3 for Kalshi odds.

Reply to stopdiggin (Reply #2)

Sat Jun 6, 2026, 10:55 PM

Jun 6

This analysis of trends in recent vote drops gives Steyer a shot:

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/6/6/800051420/community/ca-gov-steyer-will-catch-hilton-per-todays-trends/

Even before seeing the article, I was thinking that Steyer overcoming the deficit would be within the realm of possibility based on what we see over, and over here in Seattle. We've had pretty amazing swings to a very progressive candidate as the late arriving vote is counted. The trend is young people and busy working people mail or drop in a dropbox at the last minute (I figure young people tend to procrastinate and busy working people are just juggling too many things and election day "sneaks up" and they realize they've got to get on the stick and get their ballot into a dropbox, and fast). Both groups tend to be FAR more progressive/liberal than the early vote, which skews older and richer.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

25 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

CA-GOV: Republican drops from top spot in California governor's race [View all] RandySF Jun 6 OP

Where are the gambling groups?...................... Lovie777 Jun 6 #1

not a player (gambler), but I would be interested to see how 'close' the supposedly 'surprisingly accurate' stopdiggin Jun 6 #2

See post #3 for Kalshi odds. pat_k Jun 6 #5

On Kalshi right now, a bet of 5.1 cents that Steyer will advance will get you a buck if he does advance. pat_k Jun 6 #3

Wow! Great news. yardwork Jun 6 #4

I would hope to high Heavens So! Cha Jun 6 #6

I want the republican to end up in third place. Emile Jun 6 #7

I worry that a D on D race will cosume a lot of money and energy that could be directed elsewhere. RandySF Jun 6 #8

So are you wanting the republican to beat the democrat? Emile Jun 6 #9

No, because Xavier will win easily. RandySF Jun 6 #10

Then why are you afraid of Tom Steyer? Emile Jun 6 #11

Oh stop. Quiet Em Jun 6 #12

I want Tom Steyer to win second place Emile Jun 6 #14

I get that you want Steyer to win second place Quiet Em Jun 6 #15

Not accusing anything, just asking a question. Emile Jun 6 #17

Ok Quiet Em Jun 6 #19

Uh huh, good to know. Emile Jun 6 #20

Me too mvd Jun 6 #16

Party organization, no. Donors, yes. RandySF Jun 6 #18

Money RandySF Jun 6 #13

not at all what the poster said stopdiggin Jun 7 #21

I posted I wanted a Democrat to win, Emile Jun 7 #22

No. quoting exact words: "So are you wanting the republican to beat the democrat?" stopdiggin Jun 7 #23

That was a reply to someone after I posted I wanted Emile Jun 7 #24

Looks like you got your wish. Emile Wednesday #25